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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 244 | $0.025 | $6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.015 |
| $5 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 141.18 | $0.170 | $24 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 527.78 | $0.036 | $19 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.080 | $36 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 692.31 | $0.013 | $9 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 634.85 | $0.095 | $60 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 923.08 | $0.013 | $12 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | sell | 825 | $0.100 | $82.5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 825 | $0.120 | $99 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.017 | $4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.04K | $0.026 | $105 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 692.31 | $0.026 | $18 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 4.69K | $0.027 | $126.7 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.032 | $6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.002 | $40 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.031 | $60 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.058 | $150 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.050 | $150.21 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.004 | $9 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.008 | $40 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.130 | $4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.33K | $0.006 | $98 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | sell | 644.44 | $0.008 | $5.2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 63.64 | $0.110 | $7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.022 | $22 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.07K | $0.015 | $31.17 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.71K | $0.005 | $23.57 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.130 | $9.28 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 565.71 | $0.035 | $19.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.736 | $38.72 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.090 | $173 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.016 | $20 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 487.5 | $0.080 | $39 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.004 | $0.65 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.040 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.014 | $29 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.028 | $50 | Feb 23, 2026 |