Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 6.13 | $0.978 | $6.06 | +$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyNo | buy | 10.45 | $0.957 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.28 |
| $0.956 |
| $5.12 |
| -$0.88 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 6.98 | $0.860 | $2.76 | -$3.24 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 7.89 | $0.760 | $1.42 | -$4.58 |
| buy |
| 6.98 |
| $0.860 |
| $6 |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.870 | $8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.978 | $6 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.860 | $7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.995 | $9 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.956 | $6 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.992 | $8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 7.89 | $0.760 | $6 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.29 | $0.965 | $8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.16 | $0.978 | $7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.986 | $8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.976 | $7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.899 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 9.04 | $0.996 | $9 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.994 | $7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.992 | $10.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 11.38 | $0.975 | $11.1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?No | buy | 13.11 | $0.992 | $13 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.26 | $0.965 | $12.8 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No | buy | 12.15 | $0.996 | $12.1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No | buy | 11.75 | $0.979 | $11.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.971 | $15 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 14.58 | $0.960 | $14 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 18.35 | $0.930 | $17.07 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 14.77 | $0.880 | $13 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 14.94 | $0.870 | $13 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 15.22 | $0.920 | $14 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 15.05 | $0.930 | $14 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 15.05 | $0.930 | $14 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.830 | $13 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 13.61 | $0.955 | $13 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 81.33 | $0.150 | $12.2 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?No | buy | 15.29 | $0.994 | $15.2 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 21.56 | $0.900 | $19.4 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 18 | $0.989 | $17.8 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 18.62 | $0.999 | $18.6 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Yes | buy | 22.27 | $0.988 | $22 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 31.03 | $0.999 | $31 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 22.13 | $0.994 | $22 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 137.33 | $0.810 | $111.24 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $4200 September 1–7?No | buy | 50.51 | $0.770 | $38.89 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 137.33 | $0.750 | $103 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | buy | 214.33 | $0.989 | $211.97 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in May?No | buy | 111.17 | $0.995 | $110.61 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?No | buy | 100.81 | $0.992 | $100 | Apr 12, 2025 |