Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 59m ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 25.81 | $0.775 | $3.94 | -$16.06 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 10.94 | $0.787 | $8.61 | Apr 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 15.38 |
| $0.650 |
| $10 |
| Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 24.59 | $0.407 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 20.26 | $0.247 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.027 | $6 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 25.81 | $0.775 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "hillbilly" during RNC speech?Yes | buy | 104.65 | $0.162 | $17 | Jul 17, 2024 |
 Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.075 | $3.75 | Jul 7, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.041 | $4.1 | Jul 7, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 24, 2024 |
 Trump found guilty in hush money case?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | May 24, 2024 |
 Will Manchester United win the FA Cup?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | May 24, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | May 24, 2024 |
 Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.069 | $5 | May 24, 2024 |
 Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?No | buy | 106.74 | $0.141 | $15 | May 24, 2024 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.740 | $61.66 | May 24, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.180 | $50 | May 18, 2024 |
 Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Feb 15, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | Feb 15, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Feb 15, 2024 |
 Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.360 | $40 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.180 | $15 | Feb 15, 2024 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2023-24 Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 15, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.084 | $10 | Feb 15, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 51.61 | $0.310 | $16 | Feb 15, 2024 |
 Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season?Yes | buy | 16.33 | $0.122 | $2 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Will Tucker interview Putin?Yes | buy | 200.2 | $0.025 | $5 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Fed rate cut by May 1?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023?No | buy | 40.15 | $0.325 | $13.03 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Oct 10, 2023 |
 Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023?Yes | buy | 120.35 | $0.058 | $7 | Oct 10, 2023 |
| Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.250 | $8 | Oct 10, 2023 |
| Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.240 | $15 | Oct 9, 2023 |
 Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?No | sell | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Oct 3, 2023 |
| Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023?Yes | buy | 95.76 | $0.052 | $5 | Oct 3, 2023 |
 Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.990 | $19.04 | Oct 3, 2023 |
| Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.044 | $5 | Oct 1, 2023 |
| Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Oct 1, 2023 |