Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $10.5 | +$0.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 67.19 | $0.074 | $5 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 45.45 |
| $0.220 |
| $10 |
| $0 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | $0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $8.75 | -$1.25 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 62.51 | $0.080 | $5.63 | +$0.62 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.300 | $5.17 | -$4.83 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 185.19 | $0.027 | $4.54 | -$0.46 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 177.59 | $0.028 | $4.53 | -$0.47 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $4.09 | -$0.91 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $3.75 | -$1.25 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.060 | $3.75 | -$1.25 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.080 | $3.44 | -$1.56 |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | Yes | 67.19 | $0.074 | $3.36 | -$1.64 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 178.57 | $0.028 | $3.3 | -$1.7 |
 Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 149.29 | $0.033 | $2.24 | -$2.76 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $1.65 | -$3.35 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 82.79 | $0.060 | $1.41 | -$3.59 |
| buy |
| 177.59 |
| $0.028 |
| $5 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 149.29 | $0.033 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.79 | $0.060 | $5 | 5d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.013 | $8.3 | 6d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | 10d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | 10d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | 10d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.140 | $11.67 | 15d ago |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | 15d ago |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.180 | $4.74 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | sell | 71.43 | $0.050 | $3.57 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | sell | 40.4 | $0.245 | $9.9 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 40.4 | $0.247 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.150 | $9.38 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.040 | $6.67 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 77.38 | $0.250 | $19.35 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.310 | $11.92 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.210 | $31.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.84 | $0.049 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 278.67 | $0.102 | $28.53 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 278.68 | $0.036 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |