Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.940 | $10.22 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 12.18 |
| $0.683 |
| $8.32 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 12.18 | $0.981 | $11.95 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.67 | $0.987 | $11.52 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.68 | $0.995 | $11.62 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.94 | $0.880 | $3.47 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.25 | $0.880 | $9.9 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.900 | $3.55 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.26 | $0.850 | $9.57 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?No | buy | 14.58 | $0.993 | $14.48 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.770 | $3.02 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | sell | 15.14 | $0.930 | $14.08 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 15.14 | $0.770 | $11.66 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.998 | $5.64 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.950 | $4.69 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | sell | 84.55 | $0.057 | $4.79 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 84.56 | $0.068 | $5.74 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.860 | $3.01 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.470 | $0.62 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.930 | $2.71 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.950 | $2.36 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.994 | $2.97 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?No | buy | 7.47 | $0.990 | $7.4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | sell | 26.53 | $0.220 | $5.84 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | buy | 26.53 | $0.561 | $14.88 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.901 | $1.06 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.800 | $5.8 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.5 | $0.640 | $2.24 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Ass" this week (November 24–30)?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.980 | $9.89 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.930 | $4.17 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.987 | $11.35 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.930 | $1.22 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.996 | $1.21 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.7 | $0.969 | $1.65 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.999 | $1.95 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.992 | $2.15 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.999 | $4.85 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.996 | $4.28 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.994 | $1.74 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.95 | $0.950 | $10.4 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.41 | $0.999 | $10.4 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 9.56 | $0.986 | $9.43 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.984 | $1.72 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.970 | $3.64 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | buy | 13.84 | $0.370 | $5.12 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.57 | $0.992 | $9.49 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.997 | $1.22 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.997 | $1.16 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.996 | $3.51 | Jun 25, 2025 |