Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 227.79 | $0.720 | $199.31 | +$35.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 141.67 | $0.840 | $119 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 202.7 |
| $0.740 |
| $173.31 |
| +$23.31 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 158.83 | $0.485 | $148.51 | +$71.5 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 186.49 | $0.680 | $148.26 | +$21.45 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 158.73 | $0.630 | $142.06 | +$42.06 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 152.33 | $0.830 | $134.81 | +$8.38 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 141.67 | $0.840 | $121.12 | +$2.13 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 183.92 | $0.530 | $85.52 | -$11.95 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 100.51 | $0.836 | $85.08 | +$1.08 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 115.19 | $0.521 | $31.1 | -$28.9 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 122.09 | $0.340 | $15.87 | -$25.64 |
| sell |
| 123.45 |
| $0.965 |
| $119.13 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 152.33 | $0.830 | $126.43 | 3d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.500 | $31 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 115.19 | $0.521 | $60 | 14d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?No | buy | 129.16 | $0.751 | $97 | 14d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 205.33 | $0.056 | $11.57 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 185.39 | $0.950 | $176.12 | 21d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 205.33 | $0.810 | $166.32 | 25d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 178.47 | $0.940 | $167.76 | 25d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 186.49 | $0.680 | $126.81 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 134.24 | $0.940 | $126.19 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 134.25 | $0.730 | $98 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 122.09 | $0.340 | $41.51 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?No | sell | 145.5 | $0.972 | $141.43 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?No | buy | 145.51 | $0.914 | $133 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.981 | $132.59 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 183.92 | $0.530 | $97.48 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 126.83 | $0.820 | $104 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 178.47 | $0.840 | $150 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 202.7 | $0.740 | $150 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 292.68 | $0.936 | $273.95 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.250 | $14 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lucas Herbert win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.032 | $3.62 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lucas Herbert win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.044 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes | buy | 91.11 | $0.220 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes | buy | 180.67 | $0.028 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.840 | $41.99 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?No | buy | 53.93 | $0.742 | $40 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 47.44 | $0.860 | $40.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 162.64 | $0.787 | $127.95 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 177.12 | $0.059 | $10.45 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 151.51 | $0.927 | $140.45 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 185.16 | $0.568 | $105.17 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | sell | 103.89 | $0.976 | $101.4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 185.39 | $0.539 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 215.05 | $0.978 | $210.35 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 98.36 | $0.994 | $97.77 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 103.9 | $0.770 | $80 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.186 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100.51 | $0.836 | $84 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 84.5 | $0.230 | $19.44 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.720 | $200 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.972 | $53.99 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 177.04 | $0.981 | $173.68 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | Jun 22, 2026 |