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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 36.1 | $0.620 | $24.01 | +$1.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.220 | $1.91 | Jun 1, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.800 |
| $15.7 |
| -$0.3 |
| Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? | Yes | 45.8 | $0.160 | $9.85 | +$2.52 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5.93 | $0.830 | $5.74 | +$0.82 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5.85 | $0.820 | $4.6 | -$0.2 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | No | 13.89 | $0.360 | $2.15 | -$2.85 |
 Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? | Yes | 1.8 | $0.790 | $1.77 | +$0.35 |
 Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? | No | 1.74 | $0.989 | $1.74 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 8.7 |
| $0.230 |
| $2 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.770 | $2.05 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.020 | $0.05 | May 29, 2026 |
 Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.220 | $0.49 | May 28, 2026 |
| Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.350 | $0.85 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?Yes | sell | 2.07 | $0.780 | $1.61 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.870 | $2.09 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sacrifice" this week?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | May 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.830 | $2.02 | May 24, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.080 | $1.14 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | sell | 5.71 | $0.230 | $1.31 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No | sell | 10.45 | $0.130 | $1.36 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.191 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.550 | $1.46 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.910 | $2.02 | May 23, 2026 |
 Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenUsyk | sell | 2.15 | $0.920 | $1.98 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.600 | $1.64 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.650 | $1.83 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.450 | $1.73 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenUsyk | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.979 | $1.95 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.07 | $0.150 | $1.96 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.930 | $1.84 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.5 | $0.200 | $1.9 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.962 | $1.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.960 | $1.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.880 | $1.74 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.630 | $1.83 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.060 | $1.08 | Apr 24, 2026 |