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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 2.08K | $0.329 | $238.68 | -$444.11 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 217.39 |
| $0.460 |
| $83.7 |
| -$16.3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 126.58 | $0.790 | $62.66 | -$37.34 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 112.73 | $0.550 | $56.65 | -$5.35 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 266.71 | $0.375 | $38.54 | -$61.46 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 238.1 | $0.042 | $38.45 | +$28.45 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 142.69 | $0.070 | $28.75 | +$18.75 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 27 | $0.963 | $24.89 | -$1.11 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 50.78 | $0.510 | $21.33 | -$4.57 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $18.75 | +$7.75 |
 Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.090 | $18.33 | -$11.67 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 53.57 | $0.280 | $12.88 | -$2.12 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.060 | $9.42 | -$0.58 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 131.58 | $0.038 | $8.75 | +$3.75 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 147.06 | $0.034 | $3.46 | -$1.54 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.87 | $0.460 | $3.1 | -$1.9 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.036 | $2.65 | -$0.95 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 73.17 | $0.041 | $1.13 | -$1.87 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.033 | $0.55 | -$2.75 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $0.33 | -$4.67 |
| buy |
| 128.21 |
| $0.039 |
| $5 |
| Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | buy | 137.37 | $0.036 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?Yes | buy | 27.12 | $0.590 | $16 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.800 | $15 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.31 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?Yes | buy | 115.99 | $0.129 | $15 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | buy | 101.69 | $0.541 | $55 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 California redistricting referendum passes?No | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | buy | 175.58 | $0.430 | $75.5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.150 | $200 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 50.78 | $0.510 | $25.9 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.090 | $30 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 34.25 | $0.730 | $25 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 41.1 | $0.073 | $3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.340 | $5.5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 299.92 | $0.366 | $109.9 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 310.55 | $0.354 | $109.9 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.054 | $6 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.280 | $15 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 330.67 | $0.302 | $100 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 142.69 | $0.070 | $10 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 112.73 | $0.550 | $62 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 27 | $0.963 | $26 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.041 | $3 | Sep 29, 2025 |