Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 4.29 | $0.870 | $4.09 | +$0.36 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 26?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.916 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5.15 |
| $0.970 |
| $5 |
| May 25, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 26?No | buy | 8.71 | $0.919 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on May 26?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 26?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.965 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 26?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.880 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 23?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.988 | $7.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 23?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.989 | $4.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23?No | buy | 12.45 | $0.960 | $11.95 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 23?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.920 | $5.95 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on April 23?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.980 | $11.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 23?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.900 | $4.95 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 23?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.979 | $8.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.900 | $12 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.959 | $9 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 57.22 | $0.992 | $56.76 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.870 | $3.73 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.968 | $9 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.918 | $6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | buy | 7 | $0.857 | $6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 20.96 | $0.966 | $20.25 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.890 | $6.32 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 57.23 | $0.996 | $57 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 November 24-30?No | buy | 19.04 | $0.995 | $18.94 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | buy | 11.2 | $0.982 | $11 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 23.42 | $0.982 | $23 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 20.96 | $0.954 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 12.64 | $0.870 | $11 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No | sell | 61.53 | $0.983 | $60.48 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 24.18 | $0.997 | $24.11 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.975 | $60 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No | buy | 40.28 | $0.993 | $40 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did US Refuel Israeli Aircraft in the Qatar Strike?No | buy | 63.46 | $0.999 | $63.4 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?No | buy | 60.64 | $0.989 | $60 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on August 10?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.961 | $6 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | buy | 450.9 | $0.999 | $450.45 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?No | buy | 600.6 | $0.999 | $600 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?Yes | sell | 10.12 | $0.690 | $6.98 | Jul 18, 2025 |