Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.770 | $2.31K | Oct 31, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 9K |
| $0.942 |
| $8.48K |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.580 | $290 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | buy | 1K | $0.640 | $640 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?Yes | buy | 282 | $0.500 | $141 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 2.71K | $0.480 | $1.3K | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | sell | 4.71K | $0.180 | $848.37 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 2.09K | $0.470 | $982.16 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | buy | 4K | $0.640 | $2.56K | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 6K | $0.750 | $4.5K | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?Yes | buy | 96.19 | $0.840 | $80.8 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.802 | $1.69K | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 335 | $0.801 | $268.34 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.41K | $0.801 | $4.33K | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 274 | $0.800 | $219.2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 275 | $0.800 | $220 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 577 | $0.800 | $461.6 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.799 | $87.89 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.798 | $102.94 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.280 | $280 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.850 | $8.5K | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 7K | $0.800 | $5.6K | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 473 | $0.031 | $14.51 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 847.34 | $0.988 | $837.17 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 21.09K | $0.959 | $20.24K | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 264 | $0.965 | $254.76 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 1.97K | $0.989 | $1.95K | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 285 | $0.630 | $179.55 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.640 | $640 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?No | buy | 101 | $0.820 | $82.82 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?No | buy | 862.98 | $0.800 | $690.38 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nord Stream" or "Pipeline" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 129.81 | $0.710 | $92.17 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.900 | $4.5K | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 71.99 | $0.890 | $64.07 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 2.82K | $0.810 | $2.28K | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.880 | $4.4K | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.870 | $8.7K | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 400 | $0.740 | $296 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | sell | 835.41 | $0.260 | $217.21 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Yes | buy | 176.95 | $0.630 | $111.48 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | sell | 10.14K | $0.990 | $10.05K | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 524.87 | $0.870 | $456.64 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.383 | $433.92 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.454 | $22.71 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Q3" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Yes | buy | 16.4 | $0.770 | $12.63 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 17.22 | $0.405 | $6.97 | Jul 11, 2025 |