Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?No | buy | 19.07 | $0.940 | $17.93 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 27.59 |
| $0.218 |
| $6 |
| Aug 30, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.08 | $0.600 | $13.25 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 128.2 | $0.200 | $25.64 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 884.46 | $0.029 | $25.65 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 162.57 | $0.750 | $121.93 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.006 | $0.04 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 3.54K | $0.030 | $104.87 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 58.69 | $0.360 | $21.13 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.340 | $419.33 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?Yes | buy | 6.34 | $0.350 | $2.22 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.640 | $12 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 323.08 | $0.130 | $42 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.200 | $12 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.580 | $6 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 143.27 | $0.150 | $21.49 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Another commercial airline evacuation before March?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.824 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Any NSA employees fired over work chat sexting?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?Yes | buy | 8.54 | $0.937 | $8 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.700 | $15 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will the Social Security Administration be most efficient on March 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.150 | $250 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 29.75 | $0.120 | $3.57 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 284.33 | $0.150 | $42.65 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?No | buy | 27.38 | $0.913 | $25 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before August?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 11?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.630 | $15 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 555 | $0.150 | $83.25 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 25.47 | $0.740 | $18.85 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will any Democratic Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?Yes | buy | 18.57 | $0.280 | $5.2 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | Feb 5, 2025 |