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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | sell | 13.2 | $0.999 | $13.19 | Jun 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 13.21 |
| $0.960 |
| $12.68 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.935 | $0.96 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.958 | $1.03 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.946 | $1.08 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 3.68 | $0.851 | $3.13 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.911 | $7.59 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 14.71 | $0.765 | $11.25 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 48.11 | $0.507 | $24.39 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.983 | $3.27 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.49 | $0.940 | $12.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.35 | $0.950 | $12.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 9.59 | $0.999 | $9.58 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Yes | sell | 13.34 | $0.999 | $13.33 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Yes | buy | 13.35 | $0.950 | $12.68 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 13.89 | $0.999 | $13.88 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 7.34 | $0.999 | $7.33 | May 12, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.140 | $0.17 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.999 | $1.38 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?Yes | sell | 2.97 | $0.999 | $2.97 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.013 | $0.03 | May 6, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.033 | $0.05 | May 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 25.97 | $0.999 | $25.94 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.992 | $1.58 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.991 | $0.98 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.930 | $12.92 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.940 | $2.76 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.940 | $1.29 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.940 | $1.31 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.940 | $4.73 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.953 | $1.76 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.973 | $1.33 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.523 | $0.16 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.890 | $1.91 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.942 | $1.09 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.900 | $1.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.900 | $1.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.900 | $1.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.900 | $1.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.900 | $1.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.860 | $1.17 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.999 | $1.74 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.975 | $2.62 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.981 | $1.09 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Yes | sell | 22.52 | $0.999 | $22.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |