Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 213.1 | $0.710 | $151.3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 153.91 |
| $0.983 |
| $151.29 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 147.96 | $0.840 | $124.29 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?No | sell | 300.85 | $0.426 | $128.17 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?No | buy | 51.74 | $0.670 | $34.67 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?No | buy | 210.46 | $0.910 | $191.52 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | sell | 112.22 | $0.964 | $108.14 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?No | sell | 83.46 | $0.999 | $83.38 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?No | buy | 83.47 | $0.986 | $82.3 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 175.1 | $0.470 | $82.3 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 201.57 | $0.986 | $198.75 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?No | buy | 118.59 | $0.990 | $117.4 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0 and 43.4 on November 7 2025?No | buy | 163.37 | $0.987 | $161.25 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No | sell | 194.4 | $0.999 | $194.21 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No | buy | 194.4 | $0.790 | $153.58 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 166.65 | $0.180 | $30 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No | buy | 86.73 | $0.940 | $81.53 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.930 | $11.23 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.984 | $29.51 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No | buy | 34.77 | $0.900 | $31.29 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 171.57 | $0.983 | $168.65 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?Yes | buy | 267.71 | $0.619 | $165.82 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 165.82 | $0.950 | $157.53 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | sell | 158 | $0.997 | $157.53 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 158 | $0.950 | $150.1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2025?No | sell | 108 | $0.961 | $103.82 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 51.19 | $0.900 | $46.07 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 51.19 | $0.840 | $43 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Blue Jays vs. YankeesYankees | buy | 43.22 | $0.929 | $40.14 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1PM ETUp | buy | 127.06 | $0.323 | $41 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12PM ETUp | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.008 | $20 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 107.52 | $0.950 | $102.14 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?No | buy | 201.5 | $0.100 | $20.15 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 175.1 | $0.640 | $112.06 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?No | sell | 132.34 | $0.999 | $132.21 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?No | buy | 132.34 | $0.987 | $130.62 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.972 | $104.98 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | buy | 134.81 | $0.055 | $7.41 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.91K | $0.112 | $440 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.033 | $40 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?No | sell | 488.39 | $0.998 | $487.41 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | buy | 126.79 | $0.028 | $3.53 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 112.22 | $0.900 | $101 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 229.54 | $0.891 | $204.42 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?No | sell | 108.69 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31?No | buy | 125.11 | $0.947 | $118.43 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.983 | $118.43 | Aug 20, 2025 |