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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 2.61K | $0.182 | $474.64 | Jan 20, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 2.61K |
| $0.246 |
| $643.99 |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 680 | $0.780 | $530.4 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 136.04 | $0.900 | $122.44 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?Yes | sell | 1.45K | $0.070 | $101.26 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 230.29 | $0.900 | $207.26 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 901.14 | $0.253 | $228.44 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.890 | $7.22 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 451.21 | $0.850 | $383.53 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.377 | $390.75 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.390 | $404.27 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 901.15 | $0.349 | $314.5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.550 | $718.76 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.071 | $103.15 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 169.1 | $0.610 | $103.15 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?No | buy | 2.36K | $0.008 | $18.84 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 31.4 | $0.600 | $18.84 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?No | buy | 3.38K | $0.007 | $23.68 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 37.6 | $0.630 | $23.69 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.643 | $993.85 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 994.84 | $0.999 | $993.85 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 994.83 | $0.420 | $417.83 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 417.82 | $0.850 | $355.15 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 1.42K | $0.250 | $355.16 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 6.25K | $0.001 | $6.25 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.460 | $653.24 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.586 | $659.24 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.661 | $743.81 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 1.96K | $0.380 | $744.07 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.008 | $0.36 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.004 | $6.6 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 13.7 | $0.830 | $11.37 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.808 | $1.59K | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 1.59K | $0.999 | $1.59K | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 55.65 | $0.975 | $54.27 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Trudeau resign Today?Yes | buy | 2.59K | $0.529 | $1.37K | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign Today?No | sell | 2.53K | $0.539 | $1.36K | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign Today?No | buy | 2.53K | $0.785 | $1.98K | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.61K | $0.764 | $1.99K | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.61K | $0.788 | $2.06K | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by January 31?No | sell | 725.41 | $0.680 | $493.28 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes | sell | 5.32K | $0.294 | $1.56K | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?No | buy | 37.91 | $0.680 | $25.78 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?No | sell | 1.79K | $0.014 | $25.78 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?No | buy | 123.34 | $0.680 | $83.87 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?No | sell | 41.82 | $0.830 | $34.71 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?No | sell | 73.03 | $0.320 | $23.37 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.660 | $12 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jan 5, 2025 |