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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | Yes | 593.74 | $0.279 | $62.34 | -$103.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.310 |
| $56 |
| -$6 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.530 | $47.5 | -$5.5 |
 Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch? | No | 60 | $0.720 | $37.2 | -$6 |
| Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 10 | $0.660 | $6.7 | +$0.1 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.7 | $0.459 | $5.69 | -$11.15 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 53.18 | $0.629 | $4.79 | -$28.65 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $1.15 | -$3.85 |
| buy |
| 241.68 |
| $0.529 |
| $127.89 |
| 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.520 | $156 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 26.1 | $0.490 | $12.79 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.808 | $40.4 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.807 | $6.34 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.670 | $36.85 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?No | sell | 49.1 | $0.990 | $48.62 | 6d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | 7d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 96.34 | $0.260 | $25.05 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 49.1 | $0.891 | $43.75 | 7d ago |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 822.5 | $0.988 | $812.63 | 7d ago |
| Tuyo FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.615 | $61.54 | 8d ago |
| Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?No | sell | 454.54 | $0.625 | $284.11 | 8d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETUp | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | sell | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | sell | 22.72 | $0.590 | $13.4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp | sell | 25.64 | $0.760 | $19.49 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp | sell | 12.82 | $0.460 | $5.9 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | sell | 17.85 | $0.440 | $7.85 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | sell | 7.05 | $0.790 | $5.57 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | sell | 0.15 | $0.750 | $0.11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | sell | 1.29 | $0.750 | $0.97 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | sell | 14.29 | $0.130 | $1.86 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | sell | 6.66 | $0.220 | $1.47 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | sell | 6.41 | $0.720 | $4.62 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | sell | 4 | $0.280 | $1.12 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | sell | 2.12 | $0.670 | $1.42 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETDown | sell | 1.28 | $0.710 | $0.91 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETDown | sell | 1.66 | $0.750 | $1.24 | Jul 31, 2026 |