Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 4.76 | $0.420 | $4.07 | +$2.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 3.57 |
| $0.560 |
| $3.27 |
| +$1.27 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.160 | $2.38 | +$1.38 |
| buy |
| 3.57 |
| $0.560 |
| $2 |
| 7d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.385 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.349 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.834 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.440 | $0.53 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 27.82 | $0.284 | $7.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.480 | $0.9 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.379 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 6.89 | $0.038 | $0.26 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.248 | $0.49 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?No | sell | 16.82 | $0.042 | $0.71 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 38.04 | $0.056 | $2.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 14.75 | $0.339 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 13.66 | $0.366 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 11.93 | $0.419 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.091 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.374 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?No | buy | 9.04 | $0.221 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.506 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.379 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.830 | $0.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.659 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?Up | buy | 16.56 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 12?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 11?Up | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |