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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 13.91K | $0.511 | $9.81K | +$2.69K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.012 | $0.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 15.78K |
| $0.293 |
| $8.44K |
| +$3.82K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10.48K | $0.655 | $4.66K | -$2.2K |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 4.3K | $0.380 | $2.37K | +$731.74 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 26.71K | $0.010 | $173.62 | -$92.64 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.83K | $0.028 | $145.73 | +$67.9 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 399.99 | $0.028 | $95.8 | +$84.5 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $94.85 | +$2.85 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 99.98 | $0.400 | $62.49 | +$22.5 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.21K | $0.045 | $23.43 | -$211.06 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.300 | $14.9 | -$45.1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 33.5 | $0.080 | $13.97 | +$11.29 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? | Yes | 38.88 | $0.139 | $0.97 | -$4.44 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.01 | $0.420 | $0.59 | -$0.25 |
| sell |
| 8 |
| $0.650 |
| $5.2 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.370 | $2.96 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.650 | $25.35 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.370 | $14.43 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.650 | $76.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.370 | $43.66 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.650 | $85.15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.370 | $48.47 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.650 | $73.45 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.370 | $41.81 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.650 | $91.65 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.370 | $52.17 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.650 | $78 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 146 | $0.650 | $94.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.370 | $44.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 146 | $0.370 | $54.02 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.760 | $114 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.260 | $39 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.598 | $1.07K | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.042 | $43.68 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.360 | $1.13K | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300.1 | $0.580 | $174.06 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.380 | $565.82 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.590 | $93.22 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.370 | $30.71 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 195 | $0.370 | $72.15 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.580 | $85.26 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 648.93 | $0.570 | $369.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 298.76 | $0.360 | $107.55 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.250 | $523.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 59.66 | $0.240 | $14.32 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 572 | $0.710 | $406.12 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 84.99 | $0.240 | $20.4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 396.01 | $0.700 | $277.21 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.049 | $101.73 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 261.57 | $0.700 | $183.1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 470.23 | $0.240 | $112.86 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.048 | $49.54 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.010 | $15.15 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.480 | $512.64 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.420 | $420 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 68.01 | $0.420 | $28.56 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.15K | $0.480 | $1.51K | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 228.98 | $0.470 | $107.55 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.470 | $470 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.470 | $470 | Jul 2, 2026 |