Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.048 | $2.4 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.330 |
| $1.65 |
| May 10, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.680 | $17 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?Yes | buy | 41.7 | $0.015 | $0.63 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.001 | $1.15 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.270 | $2.43 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.170 | $4.25 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon be worth $500b before March?Yes | sell | 22.61 | $0.440 | $9.95 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon be worth $500b before March?Yes | sell | 27.39 | $0.450 | $12.33 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 17.75 | $0.169 | $3 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.072 | $2.88 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?Yes | buy | 14.04 | $0.570 | $8 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.989 | $10.88 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.330 | $4.29 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 4.33 | $0.992 | $4.3 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week?Yes | buy | 13.03 | $0.330 | $4.3 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 4.33 | $0.992 | $4.3 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 44.33 | $0.991 | $43.93 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Chelsea wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon be worth $500b before March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.510 | $2.04 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jan 11, 2025 |