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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 193.78 | $0.155 | $30 | Jan 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 125 |
| $0.160 |
| $20 |
| Jan 21, 2026 |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 859.36 | $0.140 | $120 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 132.64 | $0.127 | $16.81 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.044 | $0.4 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.090 | $0.53 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 52.58 | $0.098 | $5.16 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.430 | $0.95 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.963 | $1.03 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.750 | $1.15 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.058 | $1.26 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Salvador Nasralla in December?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in December?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.978 | $0.99 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.953 | $0.99 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in December?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.997 | $1.66 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in December?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.930 | $1.12 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.602 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.924 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Drake release an album in 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 35.35 | $0.290 | $10.25 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.060 | $0.75 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 8 - 14)No | sell | 2.94 | $0.260 | $0.76 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.060 | $0.75 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.581 | $2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| GPT ads by December 31?No | sell | 5.32 | $0.936 | $4.98 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 16.37 | $0.061 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 65.41 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |