Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 15K | $0.500 | $7.54K | +$37.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.13K | $0.997 | $6.11K | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 15K |
| $0.500 |
| $7.46K |
| -$37.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.930 | $4.67K | +$25 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 3.33K | $0.774 | $3.18K | +$603.49 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 20K | $0.149 | $3.1K | +$117.58 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 3K | $0.910 | $2.93K | +$201 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 4.05K | $0.625 | $2.73K | +$204.09 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.787 | $2.57K | +$205 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5K | $0.468 | $2.33K | -$14.98 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 2K | $0.470 | $1.73K | +$790 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.820 | $1.22K | -$7.5 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 3.1K | $0.235 | $651.1 | -$79.23 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.880 | $467.5 | +$27.5 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2K | $0.196 | $391 | -$1 |
 Will the Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator PSA 9 Sale Price be at least $2 million? | Yes | 358.61 | $0.496 | $195.44 | +$17.65 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31? | Yes | 383.83 | $0.090 | $32.63 | -$1.92 |
| Will the Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator PSA 9 Sale Price be at least $1 million? | Yes | 21 | $0.973 | $20.54 | +$0.11 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 22.49 | $0.400 | $9.11 | +$0.11 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.08 | $0.600 | $0.21 | -$0.44 |
| buy |
| 22.49 |
| $0.400 |
| $9 |
| 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 834.83 | $0.840 | $701.27 | 6h ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 292.64 | $0.930 | $272.16 | 1d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 350.1 | $0.130 | $45.51 | 3d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have between 10 and 11 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 148 | $0.904 | $133.79 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 599.98 | $0.700 | $419.99 | 3d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.240 | $503.02 | 4d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 2 and 3 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes | sell | 914.99 | $0.004 | $3.73 | 4d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 2 and 3 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 414.99 | $0.380 | $157.7 | 5d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | 5d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 297.39 | $0.940 | $279.52 | 5d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 219.52 | $0.938 | $205.98 | 5d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 2.08K | $0.121 | $250.7 | 5d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have 16 or more Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 454 | $0.860 | $390.44 | 6d ago |
 Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton?No | buy | 274.3 | $0.400 | $109.72 | 6d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.258 | $534.94 | 6d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 700 | $0.943 | $660.4 | 6d ago |
 Will Lacy or Marlon die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 703.39 | $0.986 | $693.7 | 6d ago |
| Will Lacy or Marlon die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 16.43 | $0.945 | $15.53 | 6d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | 7d ago |
 Over $3M committed to the Ethos public sale?Yes | buy | 269.2 | $0.959 | $258.27 | 7d ago |
| Will the Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator PSA 9 Sale Price be at least $1 million?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.973 | $20.43 | 7d ago |
| Will the Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator PSA 9 Sale Price be at least $2 million?Yes | buy | 358.61 | $0.496 | $177.79 | 7d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.695 | $727.62 | 7d ago |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | sell | 2.7K | $0.880 | $2.37K | 8d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 925.53 | $0.610 | $564.57 | 10d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 276.58 | $0.210 | $58.08 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.250 | $749.65 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 6K | $0.751 | $4.51K | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.96K | $0.765 | $2.26K | 11d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?No | buy | 3K | $0.999 | $3K | 11d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.740 | $806.59 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?No | buy | 355.99 | $0.731 | $260.08 | 12d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 244 | $0.717 | $174.98 | 12d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 3.98K | $0.798 | $3.18K | 16d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.790 | $1.65K | 16d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 93.24 | $0.784 | $73.06 | 16d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 324.07 | $0.780 | $252.83 | 16d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?No | sell | 1.24K | $0.050 | $62.09 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 36 hours?Yes | buy | 313.38 | $0.879 | $275.34 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.070 | $352.42 | 19d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.003 | $14.09 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.012 | $586.78 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.75K | $0.780 | $2.14K | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.791 | $1.58K | 26d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3K | $0.820 | $2.46K | 26d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.736 | $1.47K | 26d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.810 | $1.62K | 28d ago |