Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | $0.710 | $185 | -$170 |
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 30 | $0.423 | $12.7 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 375 |
| $0.450 |
| $168.75 |
| $0 |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 376.12 | $0.529 | $82.75 | -$116.37 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 250 | $0.630 | $76.25 | -$81.25 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 243.02 | $0.393 | $41.31 | -$54.19 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 205.62 | $0.399 | $35.98 | -$45.97 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 199.73 | $0.295 | $28.96 | -$30.04 |
| buy |
| 51.12 |
| $0.978 |
| $50 |
| May 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | buy | 307.47 | $0.976 | $300 | May 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40K | $0.001 | $40 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30K | $0.001 | $30 | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15K | $0.001 | $15 | May 9, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 6.36 | $0.290 | $1.84 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.380 | $15.2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.380 | $68.4 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 929.97 | $0.002 | $1.95 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.020 | $13.86 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.150 | $75 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 31.48 | $0.410 | $12.91 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.410 | $53.3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 93.02 | $0.430 | $40 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.320 | $40 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.770 | $308 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.769 | $307.7 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Over $4M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes | sell | 267.19 | $0.043 | $11.49 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.820 | $246 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 23?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.928 | $92.8 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 70.27 | $0.927 | $65.14 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.890 | $120.15 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 659.8 | $0.841 | $555 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 79.09 | $0.160 | $12.68 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 22.54 | $0.124 | $2.79 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 29 | $0.124 | $3.6 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 27.55 | $0.123 | $3.39 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 40K | $0.002 | $80 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.680 | $170 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 640.18 | $0.164 | $104.89 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.894 | $89.39 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.892 | $44.6 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 72.09 | $0.430 | $31 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 88.09 | $0.420 | $37 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Oct 27, 2025 |