Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.12 | $0.540 | $15.74 | +$7.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.740 | $6.61 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.79 |
| $0.580 |
| $11.38 |
| +$3.38 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 12.11 | $0.620 | $11.08 | +$3.57 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 11.5 | $0.660 | $10.06 | +$2.47 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat? | Yes | 9.96 | $0.880 | $9.73 | +$0.97 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 9.58 | $0.730 | $8.57 | +$1.58 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? | Yes | 8.79 | $0.930 | $8.26 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat? | Yes | 8.6 | $0.920 | $8.13 | +$0.22 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? | Yes | 8.51 | $0.930 | $7.87 | -$0.04 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12.23 | $0.710 | $7.52 | -$1.16 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.740 | $7.14 | +$0.54 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 7.41 | $0.840 | $7.14 | +$0.92 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 13.49 | $0.500 | $6.41 | -$0.34 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 7.31 | $0.860 | $5.2 | -$1.09 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.33 | $0.740 | $1.5 | -$3.92 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 6.17 | $0.500 | $0.18 | -$2.91 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 19.3 | $0.410 | $0.09 | -$7.83 |
| buy |
| 7.41 |
| $0.840 |
| $6.22 |
| 8d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.31 | $0.860 | $6.29 | 8d ago |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Yes | sell | 17.16 | $0.999 | $17.14 | 8d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 8.91 | $0.990 | $8.82 | 9d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 13.49 | $0.500 | $6.75 | 23d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.83 | $0.360 | $6.78 | 23d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 16.53 | $0.440 | $7.27 | 24d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.65 | $0.999 | $11.64 | 26d ago |
 Will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.22 | $0.910 | $7.48 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in August 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.320 | $4.85 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.81 | $0.991 | $12.69 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.81 | $0.580 | $7.43 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 12.79 | $0.580 | $7.42 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.660 | $7.59 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.65 | $0.690 | $8.04 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | buy | 13.24 | $0.616 | $8.16 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 10.58 | $0.999 | $10.57 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | buy | 12.71 | $0.630 | $8.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Yes | buy | 27.62 | $0.280 | $7.73 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 9.53 | $0.991 | $9.44 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.96 | $0.999 | $8.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 12.46 | $0.590 | $7.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.920 | $7.91 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.930 | $7.91 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.999 | $23.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.681 | $7.89 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes | buy | 21.72 | $0.350 | $7.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 9.77 | $0.990 | $9.67 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 19.3 | $0.410 | $7.91 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes | sell | 12.94 | $0.999 | $12.93 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 12.11 | $0.620 | $7.51 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 10.23 | $0.991 | $10.14 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.906 | $7.65 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | sell | 8.89 | $0.998 | $8.87 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.580 | $8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.84 | $0.999 | $8.83 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Yes | buy | 8.79 | $0.930 | $8.17 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.56 | $0.790 | $8.34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.84 | $0.958 | $8.47 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Yes | buy | 17.16 | $0.490 | $8.41 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 8.89 | $0.960 | $8.53 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes | sell | 9.67 | $0.990 | $9.57 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?Yes | buy | 11.19 | $0.750 | $8.39 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.67 | $0.870 | $8.41 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.12 | $0.540 | $8.7 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?Yes | buy | 9.96 | $0.880 | $8.76 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 375 | $0.012 | $4.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |