Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10.46 | +$0.46 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.963 | $11.19 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 8.12 |
| $0.985 |
| $8.09 |
| +$0.09 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 7.69 | $0.910 | $6.3 | -$0.7 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | No | 6.26 | $0.958 | $6.22 | +$0.22 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 6.59 | $0.910 | $4.78 | -$1.22 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3.16 | +$0.16 |
| buy |
| 3.23 |
| $0.930 |
| $3 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.977 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.880 | $7 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in May?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?No | buy | 6.26 | $0.958 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.985 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group StageGenOne | buy | 11.11 | $0.930 | $10.33 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 78000?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.918 | $2.98 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.988 | $3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.959 | $4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.979 | $5.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin BonziJannik Sinner | buy | 25.98 | $0.960 | $24.94 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 67.41 | $0.981 | $66.13 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 67.42 | $0.988 | $66.61 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)FOKUS | buy | 3.1 | $0.970 | $3.01 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.980 | $6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 30?No | buy | 12.16 | $0.987 | $12 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.968 | $13 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Grok 4.20 released by December 31?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 15.48 | $0.969 | $15 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in October 2025?No | buy | 56.35 | $0.994 | $56.01 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 56.01 | $0.958 | $53.66 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 32.65 | $0.980 | $32 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8.5-10m?No | sell | 8 | $0.110 | $0.88 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before August?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by July 31?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.994 | $11 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 6.63 | $0.996 | $6.6 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Deel CEO jailed in 2025?No | buy | 7.08 | $0.989 | $7 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.994 | $9 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 DeepSeek acquired by US company before July?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 New Netherlands election announced before Summer Recess?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.988 | $8 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.984 | $8 | Jun 5, 2025 |