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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 21.93 | $0.912 | $20.86 | +$0.86 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 22.22 |
| $0.900 |
| $20.54 |
| +$0.54 |
| Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.700 | $11.46 | -$3.54 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? | Yes | 7.87 | $0.890 | $7.76 | +$0.76 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 8.93 | $0.560 | $6.12 | +$1.12 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.560 | $5.89 | -$4.11 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.54 | +$0.54 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | No | 8.47 | $0.590 | $4.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will Candace Owens be arrested before 2027? | No | 5.15 | $0.970 | $4.79 | -$0.21 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison? | No | 5 | $0.910 | $4.48 | -$0.08 |
 Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | Yes | 9.26 | $0.540 | $4.44 | -$0.56 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 14.79 | $0.338 | $3.2 | -$1.8 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 21.43 |
| $0.700 |
| $15 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.890 | $7 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.920 | $2.77 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.798 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 9.86 | $0.028 | $0.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.923 | $4 | May 20, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | sell | 4.25 | $0.920 | $3.91 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Oil" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.733 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Chair" this week?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Chair" this week?Yes | buy | 11.04 | $0.906 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | buy | 8.45 | $0.710 | $6 | May 20, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 14.79 | $0.338 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Trump kiss by May 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 15.84 | $0.947 | $15 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 21.13 | $0.710 | $15 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Rebuilt / Rebuild" during Coast Guard event?Yes | buy | 18.99 | $0.790 | $15 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.810 | $15 | May 18, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran?No | buy | 15.61 | $0.961 | $15 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?No | buy | 15.71 | $0.955 | $15 | May 15, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 30.96 | $0.969 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 21.93 | $0.912 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | May 2, 2026 |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.988 | $21.74 | May 2, 2026 |