Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 4.75 | $0.910 | $4.32 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 275 |
| $0.500 |
| $137.5 |
| Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.977 | $2.05 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.975 | $5.24 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.981 | $5.6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 2.8 | $0.966 | $2.7 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.985 | $1.84 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.997 | $1.24 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.997 | $1.23 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will 'Helldivers 2' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.996 | $1.15 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.987 | $1.21 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.989 | $1.25 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.997 | $1.13 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 15 | $0.991 | $14.87 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 15 | $0.992 | $14.88 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Annual inflation under 3% in August?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.981 | $5.3 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will $USDT depeg by September 30?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.985 | $7.49 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.971 | $12.62 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Annual inflation under 3% in August?Yes | buy | 5.4 | $0.985 | $5.32 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will $USDT depeg by September 30?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.987 | $7.5 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.973 | $12.65 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 12.6 | $0.524 | $6.6 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Base airdrop by September 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.994 | $7.95 | Sep 10, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?No | sell | 11 | $0.995 | $10.95 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.6 | $0.527 | $6.64 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Base airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.995 | $7.96 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?No | buy | 11 | $0.997 | $10.97 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?No | sell | 10.3 | $0.989 | $10.19 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Brazilian Judge Moraes arrested in September?No | sell | 8 | $0.986 | $7.89 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 400 or more times?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.994 | $7.46 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.990 | $10.2 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Brazilian Judge Moraes arrested in September?No | buy | 8 | $0.990 | $7.92 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 400 or more times?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.998 | $7.49 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Maduro out before September?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.998 | $8.48 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by November 7?Yes | sell | 24.29 | $0.987 | $23.97 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by November 7?Yes | buy | 24.29 | $0.988 | $24 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.92K | $0.001 | $3.92 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.998 | $13.97 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.42K | $0.001 | $7.42 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.34K | $0.002 | $22.68 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the World Series?No | sell | 35 | $0.997 | $34.9 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the World Series?No | buy | 35 | $0.998 | $34.93 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.728 | $23.3 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.967 | $11.6 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.730 | $23.36 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.969 | $11.63 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Will Jonathan Jonhnson win?No | sell | 22 | $0.992 | $21.82 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?No | sell | 11 | $0.996 | $10.96 | Aug 31, 2024 |
| Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.999 | $10.99 | Aug 31, 2024 |