Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 617.28 | $0.810 | $598.46 | +$98.46 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp | buy | 505.03 | $0.990 | $499.98 | Mar 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 617.28 |
| $0.810 |
| $500 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | sell | 838.22 | $0.985 | $825.65 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 838.23 | $0.830 | $695.73 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 508.47 | $0.944 | $480.21 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 250.61 | $0.860 | $215.52 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 587.12 | $0.179 | $105 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 121.95 | $0.860 | $104.88 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 252.64 | $0.430 | $108.64 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?Down | buy | 412.4 | $0.121 | $50 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 912.04 | $0.023 | $20.98 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.82K | $0.011 | $20.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.011 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 912.05 | $0.022 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?Up | sell | 161.3 | $0.999 | $161.14 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?Up | buy | 161.3 | $0.860 | $138.72 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | sell | 140.6 | $0.980 | $137.79 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | buy | 140.61 | $0.889 | $125 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 125.27 | $0.910 | $114 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 113.89 | $0.997 | $113.55 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 224.14 | $0.580 | $130 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 1.77K | $0.564 | $1K | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.984 | $1.13K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 68.75 | $0.480 | $33 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 169.49 | $0.059 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 449.44 | $0.890 | $400 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?Up | buy | 219.01 | $0.913 | $200 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 117.64 | $0.900 | $105.88 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?Up | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 325 | $0.960 | $312 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 378.62 | $0.200 | $75.72 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.870 | $1K | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.060 | $15 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | sell | 743.07 | $0.910 | $676.19 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 743.08 | $0.767 | $570 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 952.99 | $0.582 | $554.27 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 540.54 | $0.981 | $530.27 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.180 | $24 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 37.33 | $0.520 | $19.41 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 250.61 | $0.798 | $200 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 258.62 | $0.290 | $75 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 113.9 | $0.878 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |