Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | Dec 29, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 15.63 |
| $0.640 |
| $10 |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.640 | $40 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Vivek out as Head of DOGE before July?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?Yes | buy | 13.02 | $0.768 | $10 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 26.74 | $0.748 | $20 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?Yes | buy | 13.92 | $0.359 | $5 | Dec 20, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) No Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.960 | $30 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 41.91 | $0.716 | $30 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.330 | $40 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | sell | 98.36 | $0.022 | $2.16 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.645 | $10 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 98.98 | $0.150 | $14.85 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Dan Brouillette for Energy Secretary?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Energy Secretary?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Sid Miller for Agriculture Secretary?Yes | buy | 90.11 | $0.333 | $30 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.170 | $6.46 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 117.51 | $0.851 | $100 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.160 | $2.81 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 51.33 | $0.974 | $50 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.655 | $15.98 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "It's not over" in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 AP calls Michigan by 8:00 AM Nov 6?Yes | sell | 43.01 | $0.052 | $2.25 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.046 | $41.4 | Nov 6, 2024 |