Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10.21 | $0.999 | $10.2 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.999 | $10.2 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.25 |
| $0.959 |
| $1.22 |
| +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 2.03 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.42 |
| 3d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.62 | $0.998 | $11.6 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.61 | $0.999 | $11.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No | buy | 188.19 | $0.999 | $188 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?No | buy | 188.19 | $0.999 | $188 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?No | buy | 188.17 | $0.999 | $187.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 189.17 | $0.999 | $188.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 189.34 | $0.998 | $188.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 189.16 | $0.999 | $188.97 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 187.19 | $0.999 | $187 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 185.56 | $0.999 | $185.37 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 85.17 | $0.998 | $85 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.995 | $1.7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 186.81 | $0.999 | $186.62 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 186.63 | $0.999 | $186.44 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 186.44 | $0.999 | $186.25 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 169.52 | $0.999 | $169.35 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 171.35 | $0.999 | $171.18 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 171.18 | $0.999 | $171.01 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?No | buy | 169.81 | $0.999 | $169.64 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.972 | $1.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Google reach $420 in January?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.959 | $1.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.987 | $1.34 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.999 | $1.15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.998 | $1.14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 191.19 | $0.999 | $191 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 20?No | buy | 189.57 | $0.999 | $189.38 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 170.17 | $0.999 | $170 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on December 6?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.977 | $1.6 | Dec 6, 2025 |