Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.61 | $0.533 | $11.52 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 11.76 |
| $0.979 |
| $11.51 |
| Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?Yes | buy | 160.92 | $0.510 | $82.07 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.976 | $8.87 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by October 31?Yes | buy | 255.2 | $0.078 | $19.88 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?No | sell | 25.16 | $0.790 | $19.88 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?No | buy | 25.17 | $0.590 | $14.85 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2PM ETDown | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1PM ETDown | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by October 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen 1 times by October 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11AM ETUp | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10AM ETDown | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7AM ETUp | sell | 7.84 | $0.999 | $7.83 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7AM ETUp | buy | 7.84 | $0.510 | $4 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ETUp | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2PM ETDown | buy | 8.33 | $0.480 | $4 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ETDown | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by October 15?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.031 | $2 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10AM ETUp | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| North Korea missile launch by October 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?Yes | buy | 105.31 | $0.128 | $13.43 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?Yes | sell | 85.2 | $0.120 | $10.21 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Damascus by September 15?Yes | buy | 165.29 | $0.070 | $11.57 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria on Tuesday September 2?Yes | buy | 70.34 | $0.043 | $3 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 30.91 | $0.032 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 8.32 | $0.850 | $7.07 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | sell | 24.09 | $0.170 | $4.1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.120 | $2.28 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | sell | 77.27 | $0.016 | $1.24 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.370 | $0.57 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before August?Yes | sell | 3.77 | $0.050 | $0.19 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.031 | $0.13 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?Yes | buy | 51.88 | $0.080 | $4.15 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.740 | $4.14 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?Yes | buy | 40.33 | $0.510 | $20.57 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?Yes | sell | 11.51 | $0.999 | $11.5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.637 | $5.22 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security deal before September?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.850 | $1.19 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?Yes | buy | 29.17 | $0.103 | $3 | Jul 15, 2025 |