Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.09 |
| $0.920 |
| $0.16 |
| -$0.84 |
 Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 1.1 |
| $0.910 |
| $1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.908 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.957 | $3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.874 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.890 | $1.85 | Nov 17, 2025 |