Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 109.4 | $0.500 | $107.48 | +$52.78 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Megaquake by January 31?No | sell | 9.3 | $0.952 | $8.85 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 109.4 |
| $0.500 |
| $1.91 |
| -$52.78 |
| sell |
| 10.05 |
| $0.930 |
| $9.35 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei public appearance by Friday?No | sell | 6.87 | $0.830 | $5.7 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.978 | $5.49 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 39.26 | $0.146 | $5.75 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 6.78 | $0.870 | $5.9 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.880 | $5.97 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.890 | $8.95 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei public appearance by Friday?No | buy | 6.88 | $0.880 | $6.05 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.963 | $5.41 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Google reach $330 in January?No | sell | 17.51 | $0.400 | $7 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Megaquake by January 31?No | buy | 9.31 | $0.940 | $8.75 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Google reach $330 in January?No | buy | 17.51 | $0.450 | $7.88 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will 60 Minutes' CECOT story released in 2025?No | sell | 6.8 | $0.993 | $6.75 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Yes | sell | 10.16 | $0.780 | $7.92 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.810 | $8.23 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 39.26 | $0.176 | $6.91 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?No | sell | 11.5 | $0.200 | $2.3 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?No | sell | 11.43 | $0.800 | $9.14 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Megaquake by December 31?No | buy | 6.63 | $0.980 | $6.5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?No | buy | 11.44 | $0.820 | $9.38 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?No | buy | 11.5 | $0.820 | $9.43 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will 60 Minutes' CECOT story released in 2025?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.970 | $6.6 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 34.34 | $0.984 | $33.79 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Next French confidence vote passes?No | buy | 6.87 | $0.993 | $6.82 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.988 | $10.08 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.880 | $7.54 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 8.43 | $0.974 | $8.21 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 8.9 | $0.966 | $8.6 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 16.7 | $0.530 | $8.85 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 8.91 | $0.941 | $8.38 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?No | buy | 9.48 | $0.993 | $9.41 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.974 | $5.66 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 468.59 | $0.997 | $467.18 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 468.6 | $0.998 | $467.66 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.7 | $0.400 | $6.68 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 8.89 | $0.957 | $8.51 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 8.64 | $0.994 | $8.59 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Pakistan strike on India before August?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.994 | $6.76 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.956 | $5.99 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on July 6?Up | buy | 19.98 | $0.510 | $10.19 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.37 | $0.041 | $0.47 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.38 | $0.480 | $5.46 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Nationals vs. DodgersNationals | sell | 10 | $0.111 | $1.11 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Nationals vs. DodgersNationals | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | sell | 9.14 | $0.020 | $0.18 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | sell | 19.22 | $0.040 | $0.77 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.480 | $9.23 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on June 18?Down | sell | 11.53 | $0.870 | $10.03 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on June 18?Down | buy | 11.53 | $0.600 | $6.92 | Jun 18, 2025 |