Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 55.65 | $0.719 | $47.03 | +$7.03 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 12h ago |
|
| No |
| 45.11 |
| $0.887 |
| $42.18 |
| +$2.18 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 30.53 | $0.655 | $25.76 | +$5.76 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.800 | $23.94 | +$3.94 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 22.19 | $0.901 | $21.2 | +$1.2 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 15.63 | $0.640 | $13.52 | +$3.52 |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | No | 13.85 | $0.722 | $13.33 | +$3.33 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $11.12 | +$1.12 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $11.01 | +$1.01 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 10.96 | $0.912 | $10.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | No | 10.24 | $0.840 | $9.54 | +$0.94 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.730 | $9.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 30.93 | $0.647 | $6.34 | -$13.66 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 2.18 | $0.963 | $2.14 | +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.200 |
| $2 |
| 14h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 14h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | 15h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 15h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 15h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 8.89 | $0.450 | $4 | 16h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | 17h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | 17h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp | buy | 6.66 | $0.600 | $4 | 17h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | 17h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 16?No | sell | 167.87 | $0.999 | $167.7 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?No | sell | 149.12 | $0.999 | $148.97 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?No | sell | 105.16 | $0.999 | $105.05 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?Yes | sell | 154.1 | $0.181 | $27.9 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?No | sell | 144.63 | $0.304 | $43.98 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.700 | $5.07 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 6.77 | $0.750 | $5.08 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.54 | $0.748 | $5.64 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.740 | $5.48 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.980 | $5.79 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.670 | $5.08 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.700 | $5.08 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 16?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.660 | $5.32 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.710 | $5.2 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.71 | $0.690 | $5.32 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.670 | $5.08 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.910 | $5.5 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 6.77 | $0.750 | $5.08 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.740 | $5.64 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.71 | $0.690 | $5.32 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.850 | $5.46 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.47 | $0.733 | $5.48 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 16?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.990 | $5.85 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.54 | $0.690 | $5.2 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.980 | $5.79 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.700 | $5.08 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 16?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.660 | $5.32 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.670 | $5.32 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.740 | $5.64 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.72 | $0.710 | $5.48 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 16?No | buy | 7.54 | $0.690 | $5.2 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.850 | $5.46 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.910 | $5.5 | 26d ago |