Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 5.26 | $0.570 | $4.45 | +$1.45 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.227 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
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| No |
| 4.17 |
| $0.480 |
| $4 |
| +$2 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2.76 | +$0.76 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $2.26 | +$1.26 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1.93 | +$0.93 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.044 | $1.77 | -$2.23 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.71 | +$0.71 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 8.82 | $0.340 | $1.32 | -$1.68 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.71 | $0.175 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $0.69 | -$1.31 |
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.61 | $0.217 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 125 | $0.008 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | Yes | 3.49 | $0.409 | $0.06 | -$1.37 |
| buy |
| 5.97 |
| $0.167 |
| $1 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.142 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.081 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.188 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.143 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.61 | $0.217 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.046 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.52 | $0.133 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp | sell | 4.49 | $0.960 | $4.31 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp | buy | 4.22 | $0.210 | $0.89 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 7.28 | $0.120 | $0.87 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 3.2 | $0.280 | $0.9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.42 | $0.280 | $0.96 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown | buy | 2.07 | $0.469 | $0.97 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.175 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAUSA | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |