Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.67 | $0.904 | $82 | 9d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 148.05 |
| $0.857 |
| $126.94 |
| 25d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No | sell | 132.98 | $0.580 | $77.13 | 25d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No | buy | 132.99 | $0.767 | $102 | 27d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 154.93 | $0.710 | $110 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 157.5 | $0.698 | $110 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.120 | $17.76 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.95 | $0.770 | $40 | May 16, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 148.08 | $0.432 | $64 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 144.53 | $0.920 | $132.97 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 144.54 | $0.713 | $103 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | sell | 59.56 | $0.459 | $27.31 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.541 | $27.05 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 230.25 | $0.960 | $221.09 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 109.56 | $0.821 | $90 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 230.26 | $0.608 | $140 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 191.11 | $0.450 | $86 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 301.89 | $0.530 | $160 | Jan 26, 2026 |