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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.890 | $1.36 | Feb 11, 2025 |
![]() |
| buy |
| 1.13 |
| $0.959 |
| $1.08 |
| Feb 11, 2025 |
Dogecoin above $0.25 on February 14?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.750 | $1.43 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.920 | $1.25 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 11?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.970 | $1.25 | Feb 11, 2025 |
25% steel tariff in effect before May?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.969 | $1.29 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Solana ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.880 | $1.36 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.850 | $1.63 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.978 | $1.18 | Jan 8, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.890 | $1.16 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Canada Post strike ends in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.997 | $1.06 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?No | buy | 0.59 | $0.910 | $0.54 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Netanyahu out before April?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.870 | $1.26 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Hailey Welch tweet again by December 20?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.830 | $1.02 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Did Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare?No | buy | 0.63 | $0.940 | $0.59 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?No | buy | 0.29 | $0.930 | $0.27 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?No | buy | 0.41 | $0.750 | $0.31 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 0.38 | $0.969 | $0.37 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.984 | $0.27 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Dogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?Yes | buy | 0.47 | $0.720 | $0.34 | Nov 29, 2024 |
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerGukesh | buy | 0.52 | $0.710 | $0.37 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Pistons vs. BucksPistons | buy | 0.39 | $0.740 | $0.29 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.32 | $0.920 | $0.29 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.620 | $0.9 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Macron impeached in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.070 | $0.16 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Megaquake in September?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.966 | $0.22 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?Yes | buy | 0.61 | $0.740 | $0.45 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?No | buy | 0.84 | $0.870 | $0.73 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will Barron tweet in September?No | buy | 0.18 | $0.940 | $0.17 | Sep 21, 2024 |
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 0.31 | $0.850 | $0.26 | Sep 21, 2024 |
RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.770 | $0.18 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Liberty vs. Dream Series WinnerLiberty | buy | 0.17 | $0.930 | $0.16 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will RFK drop out before November?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | buy | 0.15 | $0.944 | $0.14 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Roaring Kitty jail in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.83 | $0.060 | $0.11 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Taylor Lorenz leaves WaPo in August?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.970 | $0.16 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will Taylor Swift sue Trump over fake endorsement?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.069 | $0.12 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. BrazilUSA | buy | 1.44 | $0.994 | $1.43 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 13.58K | $0.001 | $13.58 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala announce VP pick before DNC?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.989 | $1.59 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?Yes | buy | 1.83 | $0.967 | $1.77 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Iran strike on US military in August?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.130 | $0.23 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win New Mexico US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.024 | $0.21 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.090 | $0.13 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans | sell | 1.36 | $0.710 | $0.97 | Aug 6, 2024 |
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.898 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Supreme Court vacancy in 2024?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.870 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 |