Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.270 | $3.98 | +$2.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 7.69 |
| $0.130 |
| $0.58 |
| -$0.42 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 104.02 | $0.018 | $0.52 | -$1.32 |
| buy |
| 10.74 |
| $0.310 |
| $3.33 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.360 | $1.06 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.995 | $2.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.844 | $2.53 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.380 | $0.71 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.370 | $0.71 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.040 | $0.32 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.002 | $0.17 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.232 | $0.64 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.989 | $1.79 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.123 | $1.23 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.003 | $4 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 300 | $0.005 | $1.5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Third term" in March?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.008 | $1.6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton say "Fifth" during his Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.36 | $0.054 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.112 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will "Neverita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "LA CANCIÓN" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "Safaera" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 67.31 | $0.015 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |