Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 31.45 | $0.318 | $29.23 | +$19.23 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | May 8, 2026 |
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.800 |
| $29.09 |
| +$5.09 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 25.65 | $0.390 | $18.34 | +$8.34 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.140 | $2.2 | -$3.4 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.110 | $1.36 | -$0.64 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes | 29.85 | $0.067 | $0.24 | -$1.76 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.140 |
| $5.6 |
| May 8, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.014 | $3.08 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | May 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | May 8, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?No | buy | 121.24 | $0.900 | $109.12 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 255.75 | $0.390 | $99.74 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 255.75 | $0.391 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 609.75 | $0.163 | $99.39 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 609.76 | $0.164 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.12 | $0.989 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 403.33 | $0.992 | $400 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 649.35 | $0.153 | $99.35 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.37K | $0.019 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 255.75 | $0.390 | $99.74 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.22K | $0.163 | $198.78 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 255.75 | $0.391 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 101.81 | $0.992 | $101 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 64.38 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 609.76 | $0.164 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 649.35 | $0.154 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 609.76 | $0.164 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | buy | 91.29 | $0.548 | $50 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 76.77 | $0.059 | $4.53 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Yes | buy | 19.27 | $0.480 | $9.25 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.45 | $0.318 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.067 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 27.92 | $0.072 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 25.65 | $0.390 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.041 | $2 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | sell | 2.59 | $0.560 | $1.45 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.56 | $0.380 | $0.97 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Feb 22, 2026 |