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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | No | 417.61 | $0.676 | $275.62 | -$6.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.080 | $12 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.09K |
| $0.092 |
| $200.81 |
| -$83.18 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 65.8 | $0.380 | $18.42 | -$6.58 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.160 | $4.2 | -$2.2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 29.72 | $0.135 | $2.91 | -$1.09 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50.92 | $0.120 | $2.8 | -$3.31 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $1.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 125.75 | $0.008 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 8 | $0.250 | $0.44 | -$1.56 |
 Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.38 | -$0.63 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.003 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.009 | $0.17 | -$2.83 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | Yes | 2.76 | $0.362 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.13 | -$0.88 |
 Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| sell |
| 18.38 |
| $0.304 |
| $5.59 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.650 | $5.32 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.090 | $108 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 112.76 | $0.540 | $60.89 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.090 | $15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | sell | 164.7 | $0.420 | $69.17 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No | sell | 21.97 | $0.650 | $14.28 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 112.77 | $0.470 | $53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | sell | 230.43 | $0.230 | $53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 164.71 | $0.340 | $56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | sell | 86.48 | $0.651 | $56.26 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 230.43 | $0.230 | $53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 75.92 | $0.690 | $52.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 25.3 | $0.710 | $17.96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 86.49 | $0.740 | $64 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 107.52 | $0.598 | $64.3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 107.52 | $0.605 | $65 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 101.22 | $0.640 | $64.78 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 115.49 | $0.710 | $82 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 30?Yes | sell | 15.78 | $0.017 | $0.27 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 30?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.380 | $6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?Yes | sell | 10.33 | $0.598 | $6.17 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.580 | $6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.690 | $60 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 104.97 | $0.520 | $54.58 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 777.78 | $0.090 | $70 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 314.89 | $0.520 | $163.74 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 282.93 | $0.410 | $116 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 118.88 | $0.910 | $108.18 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | sell | 78.12 | $0.100 | $7.81 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 118.89 | $0.900 | $107 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 27?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 180.28 | $0.870 | $156.84 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 151.16 | $0.860 | $130 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 137.94 | $0.940 | $129.66 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.690 | $9 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.380 | $25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 45 | $0.770 | $34.65 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 16.07 | $0.560 | $9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 24?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.257 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.110 | $30 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 108.65 | $0.736 | $80 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | sell | 240.69 | $0.724 | $174.26 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 94.77 | $0.696 | $66 | Jul 23, 2026 |