Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.035 | $0.21 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 127.78 |
| $0.090 |
| $11.5 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.320 | $1.94 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.700 | $1.87 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?130k | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.760 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.972 | $1.06 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.700 | $1.63 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $250 in October?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.450 | $2.3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.650 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.810 | $2.9 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.780 | $2.6 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.120 | $0.21 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.02 | $0.635 | $7 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.917 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $110K on August 27?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.850 | $1.09 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?Yes | sell | 1.37 | $0.126 | $0.17 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.900 | $1.55 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.760 | $1.2 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.907 | $0.98 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.727 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3900 in July?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on July 25?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?Up | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun reach $0.007 before August?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.620 | $1.01 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?Up | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | May 31, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?Up | buy | 62.5 | $0.048 | $3 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.640 | $1.2 | May 27, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.250 | $2.08 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?Up | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |