Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 65.39 | $0.994 | $63.5 | -$1.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.03 |
| $0.996 |
| $8 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?Yes | buy | 9.47 | $0.950 | $9 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?Yes | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?Mamdani | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.978 | $6.87 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 50.1K | $0.997 | $49.95K | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 50.1K | $0.998 | $50K | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump send the national guard to New York City?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 65.39 | $0.994 | $65 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.966 | $6 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 10.62 | $0.942 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2025 LIV Golf Dallas tournament?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before June?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 30, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app before June?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.965 | $7 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump ban federal workers from editing Wikipedia?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will the match between FC Midtjylland and Real Sociedad end in a draw?No | buy | 11.39 | $0.790 | $9 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on February 13?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.995 | $9 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?Yes | buy | 9.76 | $0.820 | $8 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Tottenham lead the EPL in points at midway point?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 8.07 | $0.991 | $8 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 8.07 | $0.991 | $8 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)Gray | buy | 7.05 | $0.993 | $7 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.942 | $6 | Nov 22, 2024 |