Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 41.66 | $0.600 | $21.87 | -$3.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.66 | $0.600 | $25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.48 |
| $0.900 |
| $2.41 |
| +$0.18 |
| sell |
| 2.81 |
| $0.964 |
| $2.71 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 46.97 | $0.560 | $26.3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 76.29 | $0.938 | $71.56 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 26.81 | $0.746 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.721 | $10.82 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 111.95 | $0.923 | $103.33 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 275.3 | $0.943 | $259.61 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | sell | 68.1 | $0.920 | $62.65 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 277.77 | $0.943 | $261.94 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.09 | $0.883 | $7.14 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 117.64 | $0.770 | $90.58 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.939 | $52.16 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.540 | $18.9 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 101.55 | $0.028 | $2.84 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 24.23 | $0.660 | $15.99 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.450 | $54.22 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 81.96 | $0.570 | $46.72 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 113.63 | $0.880 | $99.99 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 61.5 | $0.843 | $51.84 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 138.88 | $0.900 | $124.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 117.64 | $0.850 | $99.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 27.17 | $0.920 | $25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 120.04 | $0.833 | $99.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 63.21 | $0.791 | $50 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 107.52 | $0.930 | $99.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 55.55 | $0.900 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 55.55 | $0.900 | $50 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.29 | $0.195 | $3.57 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 123.45 | $0.810 | $99.99 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 142.85 | $0.700 | $99.99 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 164.83 | $0.910 | $150 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.520 | $28.6 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 21.76 | $0.328 | $7.14 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 117.64 | $0.850 | $99.99 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.610 | $21.96 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | sell | 43.49 | $0.964 | $41.92 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 150 | $0.850 | $127.5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 555.55 | $0.900 | $499.99 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 103.95 | $0.962 | $100 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 40.06 | $0.624 | $25 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 61.5 | $0.813 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 15 | $0.303 | $4.55 | Apr 13, 2026 |