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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | Yes | 114.72 | $0.174 | $8.15 | -$11.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 991.68 | $0.300 | $297.48 | Mar 9, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 544.67 |
| $0.018 |
| $0.27 |
| -$9.73 |
| buy |
| 358.72 |
| $0.430 |
| $154.15 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 67.67 | $0.503 | $34.04 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 91.47 | $0.589 | $53.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.045 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.043 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.043 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.968 | $25.47 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 149.16 | $0.670 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 173.62 | $0.999 | $173.45 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.63 | $0.270 | $46.88 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | buy | 689.56 | $0.427 | $294.51 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | buy | 35.44 | $0.430 | $15.24 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | buy | 64.11 | $0.468 | $30 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | buy | 73.68 | $0.380 | $28 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 35.46 | $0.141 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?Yes | buy | 66.25 | $0.075 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Seahawks | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5Under | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 0.69 | $0.094 | $0.06 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?Yes | buy | 50.49 | $0.297 | $15 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | buy | 178.6 | $0.560 | $100 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.320 | $15 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?Yes | sell | 53.19 | $0.999 | $53.14 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.470 | $25 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.370 | $15 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?Yes | sell | 39.84 | $0.930 | $37.05 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.170 | $25 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?Yes | sell | 54.15 | $0.986 | $53.39 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?Yes | buy | 54.16 | $0.369 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.066 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |