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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.4K | $0.917 | $1.34K | +$60.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | 12d ago |
 |
| No |
| 500 |
| $0.930 |
| $467.5 |
| +$2.5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.790 | $192.3 | +$34.3 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $181 | +$15 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.730 | $153 | +$7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 117.65 | $0.850 | $114.35 | +$14.35 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.500 | $86.5 | +$36.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.580 | $1.12 | -$8.88 |
| buy |
| 139.53 |
| $0.860 |
| $120 |
| 12d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 534.05 | $0.969 | $517.49 | 12d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.038 | $102.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 139.37 | $0.983 | $137 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 944.91 | $0.961 | $908.06 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 944.91 | $0.961 | $908.06 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.995 | $398 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 629.93 | $0.961 | $605.36 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.890 | $356 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.994 | $124.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 163.52 | $0.061 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.650 | $32.49 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 519.75 | $0.962 | $500 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 600 | $0.970 | $582.23 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 216.22 | $0.925 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 36.42 | $0.900 | $32.78 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.2 | $0.955 | $30.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.952 | $1K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.65 | $0.003 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 93.63 | $0.534 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.250 | $17.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.604 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 57.54 | $0.869 | $50 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 200 | $0.963 | $192.54 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.579 | $86.82 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 143.88 | $0.139 | $20 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 76.15 | $0.300 | $22.85 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.110 | $27.5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 76.15 | $0.394 | $30 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 83.8 | $0.358 | $30 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 150.38 | $0.665 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | sell | 270.27 | $0.015 | $4.13 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.037 | $10 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | sell | 51 | $0.999 | $50.95 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 298.67 | $0.967 | $288.81 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | sell | 51.99 | $0.230 | $11.96 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 5?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jan 24, 2025 |