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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.200 | $188.78 | -$311.22 |
 US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.540 | $2K | Apr 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 937.5 |
| $0.320 |
| $70.31 |
| -$229.69 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 259.97 | $0.077 | $52.38 | +$32.38 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | Yes | 336.51 | $0.297 | $47.11 | -$52.89 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 921.23 | $0.108 | $38.23 | -$61.77 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.250 | $30 | -$95 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.140 | $10.43 | -$9.57 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 600 | $0.100 | $10.2 | -$49.8 |
 Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Yes | 293.76 | $0.340 | $4.7 | -$95.3 |
| buy |
| 15.64K |
| $0.019 |
| $300 |
| Mar 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 602.81 | $0.166 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 604.35 | $0.165 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.200 | $300 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.193 | $301 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 500.35 | $0.200 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 510.76 | $0.196 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 615.38 | $0.163 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 738.23 | $0.418 | $308.74 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.47K | $0.183 | $1K | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.167 | $500 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 759.78 | $0.263 | $200 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 937.5 | $0.320 | $300 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 738.24 | $0.339 | $250 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 892.86 | $0.560 | $500 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Astralis | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FaZe | buy | 588.24 | $0.680 | $400 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Astralis | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Astralis | buy | 147.13 | $0.680 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 336.51 | $0.297 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 921.23 | $0.109 | $100 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.504 | $72.03 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 338.98 | $0.810 | $274.57 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 3.74K | $0.698 | $2.61K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.300 | $200 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 3.74K | $0.080 | $300 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | sell | 16.98 | $0.991 | $16.83 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | buy | 16.73 | $0.580 | $9.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 19 | $0.510 | $9.69 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 10.45K | $0.490 | $5.12K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 243.3 | $0.949 | $230.82 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 133.54 | $0.902 | $120.43 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 5.45K | $0.110 | $600 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?Yes | buy | 446.57 | $0.224 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 53.8 | $0.200 | $10.76 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.200 | $340 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.200 | $322.78 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.200 | $326.46 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 588.23 | $0.170 | $100 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 322.77 | $0.310 | $100 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Yes | buy | 293.76 | $0.340 | $100 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 420.17 | $0.238 | $100 | Jan 17, 2026 |