Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.600 | $1.16 | Aug 18, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.37 |
| $0.961 |
| $1.32 |
| Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Anthony Davis play before March?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.985 | $1.15 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 12?Yes | buy | 2.55 | $0.770 | $1.96 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.620 | $1.2 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 30°F or below on February 14?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.998 | $1.79 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "A Complete Unknown"?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.950 | $1.13 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.012 | $0.02 | Feb 12, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | sell | 2.71 | $0.770 | $2.09 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.880 | $1.39 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.720 | $1.77 | Jan 8, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.690 | $1.87 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Biden and Trump shake hands at inauguration?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.900 | $1.69 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.997 | $1.52 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.996 | $1.86 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.987 | $1.96 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.995 | $1.78 | Dec 17, 2024 |
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.080 | $0.47 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | sell | 34.05 | $0.670 | $22.81 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | buy | 31.69 | $0.680 | $21.55 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 22-29?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.910 | $1.42 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.400 | $0.89 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.770 | $1.82 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.490 | $0.69 | Nov 29, 2024 |
RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.971 | $1.01 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.55 | $0.420 | $0.23 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?No | buy | 0.41 | $0.988 | $0.41 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.920 | $1.29 | Nov 15, 2024 |
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.820 | $0.87 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Trump go on Redscare?No | buy | 0.9 | $0.860 | $0.77 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Another Trump x Musk space before October?No | buy | 0.42 | $0.970 | $0.41 | Sep 21, 2024 |
RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.750 | $0.78 | Sep 21, 2024 |
OpenSea token announcement in 2024?No | sell | 0.96 | $0.720 | $0.69 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Mitch vs. Rektober: September PnLRektober | buy | 0.6 | $0.550 | $0.33 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.59 | $0.540 | $0.32 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Bank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?No | buy | 0.69 | $0.998 | $0.69 | Aug 24, 2024 |
OpenSea token announcement in 2024?No | buy | 0.97 | $0.900 | $0.87 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Trump post about a memecoin before election?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.910 | $0.46 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Solana all time high in August?No | buy | 0.48 | $0.995 | $0.48 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 0.85 | $0.850 | $0.72 | Aug 24, 2024 |
No Solana all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.73 | $0.800 | $0.58 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 0.84 | $0.817 | $0.69 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.75 | $0.724 | $0.54 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.964 | $0.68 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.590 | $0.76 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Will $USDT depeg by September 30?No | sell | 0.89 | $0.977 | $0.87 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Roaring Kitty jail in 2024?No | sell | 0.93 | $0.940 | $0.87 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | sell | 18.91 | $0.047 | $0.89 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Solana all time high in August?No | sell | 0.94 | $0.974 | $0.92 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.850 | $0.95 | Aug 24, 2024 |