Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.809 | $6.74 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 8.34 |
| $0.974 |
| $8.12 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.976 | $5.25 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 8.79 | $0.890 | $7.82 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.820 | $7.21 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | buy | 7.47 | $0.830 | $6.2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?No | sell | 5.99 | $0.999 | $5.98 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?No | buy | 6 | $0.912 | $5.47 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 James Comey in jail in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.998 | $1.16 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.994 | $1.46 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.985 | $1.3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.33 | $0.959 | $4.15 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.84 | $0.811 | $2.3 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.470 | $1.36 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.85 | $0.650 | $1.85 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.890 | $2.58 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.997 | $1.21 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.998 | $1.75 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.969 | $2.09 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.971 | $1.35 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.972 | $1.51 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 10?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.999 | $1.93 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.997 | $3.17 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.998 | $2.97 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.993 | $1.14 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.1 | $0.960 | $14.5 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.1 | $0.958 | $14.47 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.996 | $2.72 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.06 | $0.999 | $11.05 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 22?No | buy | 11.35 | $0.993 | $11.27 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?Yes | buy | 16.82 | $0.991 | $16.67 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 17.33 | $0.999 | $17.31 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?No | buy | 17.22 | $0.999 | $17.2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Yoon out of custody by July 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.999 | $1.41 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?No | buy | 11.92 | $0.973 | $11.6 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | buy | 13.52 | $0.999 | $13.51 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.997 | $12 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Romania's court annul the presidential election?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.997 | $1.14 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 12.74 | $0.996 | $12.69 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 12.75 | $0.997 | $12.71 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.83 | $0.960 | $12.32 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.33 | $0.999 | $12.32 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.986 | $3.17 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump jail Elon Musk?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.958 | $1.01 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?No | sell | 7.88 | $0.987 | $7.78 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?No | sell | 8.27 | $0.988 | $8.17 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | buy | 34.19 | $0.360 | $12.31 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?No | buy | 7.89 | $0.990 | $7.81 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.988 | $8.18 | Jul 3, 2025 |