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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.160 | $1.25 | Oct 10, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 2.5 |
| $0.500 |
| $1.25 |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.655 | $1.64 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.240 | $1.09 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.340 | $1.62 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 7.89 | $0.620 | $4.89 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 86-87°F on July 12?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 84-85°F on July 12?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 10?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 3.27 | $0.950 | $3.11 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Texas by Friday?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Kanye West arrested in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.55 | $0.117 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 246.67 | $0.006 | $1.48 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by July 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |