Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.63K | $0.123 | $129.27 | -$70.73 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No | sell | 331.66 | $0.921 | $305.51 | Jul 2, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 106.61 |
| $0.938 |
| $100 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No | buy | 117.59 | $0.935 | $110 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No | buy | 107.47 | $0.930 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.123 | $200 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.960 | $1.02K | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes | buy | 113.35 | $0.097 | $11 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.946 | $11.35 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 926.56 | $0.948 | $878.38 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.740 | $185 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 421.47 | $0.849 | $358 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Yes | buy | 560 | $0.716 | $401 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2G2 | buy | 60.85 | $0.164 | $10 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will GPT-4.5 be released by March 31?Yes | buy | 500.91 | $0.800 | $400.73 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 267.38 | $0.559 | $149.5 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 205.89 | $0.550 | $113.24 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 273.38 | $0.224 | $61.24 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.104 | $52 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 340.05 | $0.441 | $149.96 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 212.42 | $0.363 | $77.11 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | sell | 83.52 | $0.062 | $5.18 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | buy | 83.53 | $0.180 | $15 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.011 | $0.92 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?No | sell | 77.53 | $0.330 | $25.58 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 160.77 | $0.622 | $100 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 77.54 | $0.387 | $30 | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 390.63 | $0.512 | $200 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 69.44 | $0.450 | $31.25 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.885 | $15 | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 105.82 | $0.378 | $40 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 112.61 | $0.444 | $50 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.509 | $101.9 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.062 | $10 | Jun 30, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 0.57 | $0.440 | $0.25 | Jun 30, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Jun 30, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.086 | $10 | Jun 28, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.184 | $20 | Jun 28, 2024 |
 Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.078 | $10 | Jun 27, 2024 |
 Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.030 | $4 | Dec 4, 2023 |
| Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Dec 4, 2023 |