Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.22 | $0.958 | $5.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.510 | $1.1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.16 |
| $0.950 |
| $3.05 |
| +$0.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.64 | $0.760 | $2.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | No | 2.12 | $0.942 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 2.11 | $0.947 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.16 | $0.924 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.09 | $0.957 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | -$0 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.05 | $0.976 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.32 | $0.680 | $1.99 | +$0.41 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.11 | $0.950 | $1.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.11 | $0.949 | $1.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $1.87 | -$0.13 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $1.79 | -$0.21 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 2.35 | $0.850 | $1.65 | -$0.35 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.76 | $0.620 | $1.63 | +$0.54 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1.46 | $0.830 | $1.37 | +$0.16 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.13 | $0.555 | $0.87 | +$0.24 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.87 | $0.309 | $0.64 | -$0.56 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.938 | $0.14 | -$1.86 |
| buy |
| 4.57 |
| $0.860 |
| $3.93 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.663 | $0.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.663 | $0.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.663 | $0.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.743 | $1.09 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.737 | $1.09 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.800 | $1.09 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.800 | $1.09 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.870 | $1.09 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.910 | $1.04 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.910 | $1.05 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.818 | $0.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.98 | $0.839 | $2.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.98 | $0.839 | $2.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.838 | $0.23 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.65 | $0.838 | $0.54 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.65 | $0.838 | $0.54 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.840 | $0.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.840 | $0.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.840 | $0.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.840 | $0.08 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.840 | $0.02 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.38 | $0.811 | $3.55 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.28 | $0.811 | $3.47 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.43 | $0.811 | $0.35 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.130 | $0.11 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.910 | $1.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.910 | $1.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.910 | $1.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.650 | $1.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.649 | $1.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.649 | $1.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.648 | $1.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |