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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.25 | $0.990 | $25.19 | +$0.19 |
 Is Earth flat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 12.61 | $0.991 | $12.5 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 19.88 |
| $0.991 |
| $19.75 |
| +$0.05 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 17.52 | $0.999 | $17.49 | -$0.01 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13.44 | +$0.44 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 12.61 | $0.991 | $12.51 | +$0.01 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 12.79 | $0.938 | $12.48 | +$0.48 |
| buy |
| 17.52 |
| $0.999 |
| $17.5 |
| 2d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.998 | $10.62 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.7 | $0.999 | $17.68 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.498 | $12 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.25 | $0.990 | $25 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Is Earth flat?No | buy | 19.88 | $0.991 | $19.7 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 25.05 | $0.991 | $24.82 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 21.52 | $0.500 | $10.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 12.6 | $0.992 | $12.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No | buy | 18.94 | $0.998 | $18.9 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.991 | $12.02 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 25.1 | $0.998 | $25.05 | May 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 20.38 | $0.996 | $20.3 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.1 | $0.996 | $25 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.938 | $12 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | buy | 37.15 | $0.996 | $37 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 19.43 | $0.993 | $19.29 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $20 in February?No | buy | 30.04 | $0.999 | $30.01 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No | buy | 33.22 | $0.999 | $33.19 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 20.33 | $0.984 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.999 | $17 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.998 | $23 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 27.05 | $0.998 | $27 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 26.08 | $0.997 | $26 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 11.97 | $0.987 | $11.81 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.08 | $0.993 | $9.02 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 9.22 | $0.988 | $9.11 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.989 | $3.53 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 18.13 | $0.993 | $18 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 42.08 | $0.998 | $42 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.989 | $23 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 30.27 | $0.991 | $30 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 810.43 | $0.996 | $807.19 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 810.43 | $0.997 | $808 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.49K | $0.996 | $1.49K | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.92K | $0.995 | $1.91K | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.92K | $0.996 | $1.91K | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.997 | $1.49K | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 378.02 | $0.991 | $374.62 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 273.99 | $0.998 | $273.44 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.26K | $0.995 | $1.25K | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 307.15 | $0.992 | $304.69 | Nov 2, 2025 |